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// Off the record · ZS-EXT-01

You found the back of the file.

I've been doing this since I was sixteen — first with paper trades, then with the family book, then with capital that wasn't mine. Five years later, I'm still not sure I know what I'm doing — and I think that's the point. The day I stop being uncertain is the day I should worry.

Thanks for digging. If you got here, you're my kind of recruiter.

— Zaain.
USER · ZSABAHAT SESSION · 001 LIVE
NL · --:--:--
// IDENTITY · ZS-001 [F0]
// basedSt. John's, Newfoundland
// statusOpen · 2026
// focusPublic markets
// since2020

A finance graduate focused on equity research, portfolio analysis, and risk-managed market participation. Five years of independent investing on the PSX, externally validated trading discipline across funded proprietary programs.

Zaain.
// ON THE DESK [F7] LIVE
SESSION TIME 00:00:00
Notes from the desk
By Zaain Sabahat
May 2026
Issue № 01

On process over prediction.

The market did not need to be predicted this month — it needed to be respected. Capital came home in size, the index ran, and the temptation was to chase. I sat in the names I already knew, sized them against a risk budget I'd already written down, and let the work I'd done over the prior quarter do the heavy lifting.

Zaain.
Zaain Sabahat
St. John's · 03.V.MMXXVI
// PSX BOOK · AUG '25 — JAN '26 [F1]
BOOK
+43.0%
KSE-100
+31.9%
ALPHA
~+11
+50 +30 +15 0 Aug Oct Jan ~+11 pts alpha
// FUNDED PROGRAMS
4 firms
Acello · Apex · E8 · Goat Funded — payouts received under firm risk parameters.
// EDU · MEMORIAL
3.7/4.0
BBA, Investing & Finance · Dean's List '22–23 · Entrance scholarship.
// LIVE TRACK · 3 MARKETS LIVE
Calls
Win rate
Avg return
Most recent
Loading…
View full archive
// CREDENTIALS · VERIFIED 01 / 04
Full archive
F1 // Track record · PSX · Aug '25 — Jan '26
SCREEN 01 / 06

Charted against the index.

Selected long-only PSX equity book, August 2025 through January 2026. +43.0% vs +31.9% for the KSE-100 over the same window. Same currency, same market — roughly 11 points of alpha.

Selected portfolio
KSE-100 benchmark
+50% +37.5% +25% +12.5% 0% Aug '25 Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan '26 ~11 pts of alpha
F2 // How a thesis becomes a position
SCREEN 02 / 06

The decision tree.

Every position walks the same path. Hover a node to see what happens at that step. Most ideas don't make it through, and that's exactly the point.

An idea research macro check Fundamentals? Macro regime? no yes red green Pass Sizing Defer / paper Execute Risk budget Order, stop, plan Journal · review · revise
// Step
An idea. Could come from a screen result, a quarterly release, a macro shift, or a chart someone shared. The first job is always the same: write down what would have to be true for this to work, before the price tells me it already is.
F3 // Competencies · three lenses
SCREEN 03 / 06

Three lenses on the same market.

Most of public markets work reduces to the same question — what is this worth, and where does the order book agree? I approach it from three directions.

/ 01

Fundamental Research

Equity Analysis · Valuation · Portfolio Strategy

Form a defensible thesis with numbers, not narrative. Test it against comps, scenarios, and the next earnings release.

  • DCF & intrinsic-value modelling
  • Peer multiple & cross-comparable analysis
  • Probability-weighted scenario construction
  • Sector benchmarking & relative valuation
  • Quarterly results review & thesis revision
  • Multi-factor equity screening & ranking
/ 02

Macro & Cross-Asset

Policy · Liquidity · Risk Sentiment

Read the regime before reading the chart. The wrong macro window kills a right idea; the right one carries a half-decent one.

  • ISM, NFP, CPI, GDP & FOMC monitoring
  • Trend, momentum & surprise-vs-forecast scoring
  • Federal Reserve policy interpretation
  • Cross-asset translation: USD, gold, indices, risk
  • Centralised analytical dashboard construction
  • Macro overlay for portfolio positioning
/ 03

Market Microstructure

Execution · Liquidity · Risk Discipline

Where the order book actually agrees, sized against a budget I can defend. Process compounds; conviction without it doesn't.

  • Order flow & depth-of-market interpretation
  • Auction-market behaviour & volume structure
  • Liquidity dynamics & execution quality
  • Position sizing under externally imposed limits
  • Risk-adjusted trade selection
  • Structured post-trade review & journal discipline
F4 // Projects · what I've built
SCREEN 04 / 06

The work, not the claim.

Three artifacts I've built and use. Each one is real — a research report I wrote, a screener that still runs, a macro calendar I read every week.

/ 01

Equity Research

Sell-side · Tech · DCF

A full equity research note on NVIDIA — DCF, comps, scenarios, and an explicit price target. The first of a research catalogue I'm building.

Read the full report
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation
EQUITY · NDQ
Rating
BUY
12-mo PT
$222
↑ 18% upside
DCF Value
$235
WACC
10.5%
Terminal g
3.0%
FY27e Rev
$210B
FY27e EPS
$6.10
Implied P/E
36.4×
// Investment thesis Compute demand structurally re-rated; near-term margin headwinds priced in.
/ 02

Equity Screening Model

Excel · PSX · Multi-factor

A quarterly screener that ranks the full PSX universe by EPS growth (QoQ), valuation versus sector P/E, and implied upside. Auto-refreshes against current price; produces a shortlist I trade against.

View the methodology
/ 03

US Macro Framework

Excel · Macro · Cross-asset

A weekly release calendar for the US data cycle — ISM, NFP, CPI, PPI, FOMC, GDP, Core PCE — mapped to the days they print. Every release tagged primary or secondary; drives my macro positioning.

View the framework
// US DATA CYCLE · TYPICAL MONTH Primary Secondary Fed
WK 1
Mon
ISM Manufacturing PMI 10:00 ET
Tue
Wed
ISM Services PMI 10:00 ET
Thu
Unemployment Claims 08:30 ET
Fri
Non-Farm Payrolls + UR 08:30 ET
WK 2
Mon
Tue
FOMC Minutes 14:00 ET
Wed
CPI m/m 08:30 ET
Thu
PPI m/m 08:30 ET
Fri
WK 3
Mon
Tue
Retail Sales m/m 08:30 ET
Wed
FOMC (rate decision) 14:00 ET
Thu
Housing data 10:00 ET
Fri
WK 4
Mon
Tue
Wed
Advance GDP q/q 08:30 ET
Thu
Core PCE m/m 08:30 ET
Fri
Trade Balance 08:30 ET
// Each release tagged: surprise vs forecast → cross-asset translation (USD · gold · indices · risk) + Jackson Hole · Fed speeches tracked separately
// · Recent research, theses, watchlist ——
NVDA Equity report, BUY, PT $222 Report
·
KSE-100 Family book benchmark Active
·
XAU/USD Funded-account exposure Trade
·
NQ Index futures, intraday Trade
·
CL Crude — macro overlay Watch
·
DXY USD basket — Fed direction Macro
·
AMD NVDA peer comp Comp
·
AVGO NVDA peer comp Comp
·
SPX Risk sentiment proxy Macro
·
FED Policy & rate path Macro
·
NVDA Equity report, BUY, PT $222 Report
·
KSE-100 Family book benchmark Active
·
XAU/USD Funded-account exposure Trade
·
NQ Index futures, intraday Trade
·
CL Crude — macro overlay Watch
·
DXY USD basket — Fed direction Macro
·
AMD NVDA peer comp Comp
·
AVGO NVDA peer comp Comp
·
SPX Risk sentiment proxy Macro
·
FED Policy & rate path Macro
·
F5 // Roadmap · the credential stack
SCREEN 05 / 06

What I'm building toward.

The next three years, mapped. Each credential is a deliberate choice — buy-side research, Canadian licensing, technical analysis, practical modelling. Stacked, not scattered. Where I am today is the floor, not the ceiling.

/ 01 Equity research & asset management
Bloomberg Market Concepts
Complete
·
CFA Level I
In preparation · 2026
CFA Charter
All three levels · target window
/ 02 Canadian licensing
·
CSC — Canadian Securities Course
Industry baseline · planned
CIM — Chartered Investment Manager
PM-track designation
/ 03 Technical analysis & trading
Funded prop programs
MFF · Apex · GFT · Acello
CMT Charter
All three levels · technical analyst designation
/ 04 Practical modelling
NVDA equity research
DCF, comps, scenarios — built & published
Macro & screening models
Excel · multi-factor · live
·
BIWS / Wall Street Prep
Sell-side modelling · practical certification
Earned ·In progress Planned
F6 // Open to
SCREEN 06 / 06

Looking for the next desk.

Currently looking for early-career roles in equity research, investment analysis, portfolio analysis, trading, and market strategy. Happy to chat about markets, models, or trade ideas — even if you're not hiring.

Equity Research Investment Analysis Portfolio Analysis Market Strategy Trading Risk & Performance